Llaneros 1-2 Cortulua Tulua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera B, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
48%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
24%
+22.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
48%
-22.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cortulua Tulua The Market 51%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.01/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.00
-8% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cortulua Tulua
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2023 Llaneros Llaneros 1-0 HT 1-0 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua KOLPB
29.07.2023 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 2-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLPB
26.03.2023 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 1-1 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLB
14.02.2023 Llaneros Llaneros 1-3 HT 1-1 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua KOLB
04.09.2021 Llaneros Llaneros 1-1 HT 1-0 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua KOLB
15.03.2021 Cortulua Tulua Cortulua Tulua 0-2 HT 0-1 Llaneros Llaneros KOLB
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Cortulua Tulua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cortulua Tulua nicked a narrow win over Llaneros 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Llaneros at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Llaneros and 1.17 for Cortulua Tulua.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Cortulua Tulua?

Llaneros 1-2 Cortulua Tulua in the Colombia - Primera B on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Cortulua Tulua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 47%, draw 28%, Cortulua Tulua 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llaneros), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llaneros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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