Al Arabi 6-3 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
2.11/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.70
+11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Al Nasar
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
02.11.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
13.12.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
25.08.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
10.04.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
24.12.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
04.05.2021 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi swept aside Al Nasar 6-3. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasar led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Arabi and 1.50 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Al Arabi 6-3 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 55%, draw 25%, Al Nasar 20%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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