17/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Besa Doberdoll vs Osogovo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
51%
4-5
18%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
14%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
38%
28%
Draw
25%
26%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Besa Doberdoll v Osogovo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Besa Doberdoll
The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Osogovo
The Market 40%
+42% /
+42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+46% /
+46%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
+39%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+150%
/
+113%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
350 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
358 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Besa Doberdoll vs Osogovo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Besa Doberdoll cruised past Osogovo 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Besa Doberdoll as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.
What was the final score of Besa Doberdoll vs Osogovo?
Besa Doberdoll 3-0 Osogovo in the North Makedonya - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Besa Doberdoll vs Osogovo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Besa Doberdoll win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Besa Doberdoll 47%, draw 28%, Osogovo 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Besa Doberdoll), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Besa Doberdoll)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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