Tlaxcala 2-3 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
41%
Away Win
27%
+14.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -22%
1.40/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.96
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.09.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
05.04.2023 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
10.08.2022 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz edged past Tlaxcala 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day CA La Paz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.00 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Tlaxcala 2-3 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 36%, draw 23%, CA La Paz 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA La Paz), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ BTTS Yes
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