Haras El Hodood 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.11.2023 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
1-1
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood and Ghazl Kafr El Dawar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Haras El Hodood at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 53% of the ball to Ghazl Kafr El Dawar's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Haras El Hodood 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division Yükselme Playoff on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haras El Hodood win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 44%, draw 28%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Haras El Hodood), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haras El Hodood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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