Türkiye Wilhelmsburg 0-1 ETSV Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Oberliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye Wilhelmsburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY ETSV Hamburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
231 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ETSV Hamburg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
7 Corners 6
08.09.2023 ETSV Hamburg ETSV Hamburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Türkiye Wilhelmsburg OBER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
0-1
AWAY ETSV Hamburg
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs ETSV Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ETSV Hamburg edged past Türkiye Wilhelmsburg 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ETSV Hamburg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Türkiye Wilhelmsburg had 50% of the ball to ETSV Hamburg's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs ETSV Hamburg?

Türkiye Wilhelmsburg 0-1 ETSV Hamburg in the Germany - Oberliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye Wilhelmsburg vs ETSV Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an ETSV Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Türkiye Wilhelmsburg 28%, draw 31%, ETSV Hamburg 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ETSV Hamburg), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ETSV Hamburg) ✓ Under 2.5
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