Sportivo Ameliano 1-3 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Feb 2024

Sportivo Ameliano
1-3 HT 1-1
Sportivo Luqueno
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2024

Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sportivo Ameliano v Sportivo Luqueno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.15/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.37
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
23.07.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.05.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
20.02.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR

Sportivo Ameliano 1-3 Sportivo Luqueno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-3
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno saw off Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Sportivo Luqueno made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 46% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 54%, shots finished 16-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.00 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-3 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 36%, draw 27%, Sportivo Luqueno 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✗ Under 2.5
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