ADT 4-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
ADT win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.12/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.66
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.3 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.19 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
211 Passes 242
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 ADT ADT 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
11.06.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-1 HT 1-1 ADT ADT PER
18.09.2022 ADT ADT 2-1 HT 2-1 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
01.05.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-1 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
4-0
AWAY Carlos Manucci Trujillo
78% Ball Possession 22%
25 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
452 Passes 71
85% Pass Accuracy 47%
POST-MATCH ADT vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT cruised past Carlos Manucci Trujillo 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, ADT had 78% of the ball to Carlos Manucci Trujillo's 22%, shots finished 25-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ADT had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ADT and 0.75 for Carlos Manucci Trujillo.

What was the final score of ADT vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

ADT 4-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo in the Peru - Premier League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Carlos Manucci Trujillo?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ADT 55%, draw 25%, Carlos Manucci Trujillo 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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