Polonia Bytom 2-2 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
1.86
Over
60%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.23
2-3
43%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.57
6+
12%
14.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
50%
-9.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
50%
+9.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.6pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.17/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.50
+34% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
04.08.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
2-2
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom and SKRA Czestochowa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 46% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 54%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Polonia Bytom and 1.00 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Polonia Bytom 2-2 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 47%, draw 27%, SKRA Czestochowa 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Bytom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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