Lusitania Lourosa U19 3-1 Marítimo U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
49%
4-5
12%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitania Lourosa U19 The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marítimo U19 The Market 22%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +69%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitania Lourosa U19
3-1
AWAY Marítimo U19
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Marítimo U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitania Lourosa U19 beat Marítimo U19 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lusitania Lourosa U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lusitania Lourosa U19 had 45% of the ball to Marítimo U19's 55%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Marítimo U19?

Lusitania Lourosa U19 3-1 Marítimo U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitania Lourosa U19 vs Marítimo U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania Lourosa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lusitania Lourosa U19 43%, draw 26%, Marítimo U19 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania Lourosa U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitania Lourosa U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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