Sarıyer 0-1 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.14/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.20
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarıyer
1W-2D-0L
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
08.10.2023 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-K
18.03.2021 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-B
14.11.2020 Sarıyer Sarıyer 1-0 HT 0-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarıyer
0-1
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sarıyer vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

24Erzincanspor edged past Sarıyer 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; 24Erzincanspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sarıyer had 64% of the ball to 24Erzincanspor's 36%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sarıyer had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sarıyer and 0.67 for 24Erzincanspor.

What was the final score of Sarıyer vs 24Erzincanspor?

Sarıyer 0-1 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarıyer win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 40%, draw 26%, 24Erzincanspor 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sarıyer) ✗ BTTS Yes
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