Tre Fiori 4-2 Faetano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — San Marino - Şampiyona, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tre Fiori The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Faetano The Market 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tre Fiori vs Faetano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tre Fiori got the better of Faetano 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tre Fiori as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Tre Fiori vs Faetano?

Tre Fiori 4-2 Faetano in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tre Fiori vs Faetano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tre Fiori win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tre Fiori 44%, draw 33%, Faetano 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tre Fiori) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tre Fiori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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