17/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Virtus vs San Marino Academy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
41%
32%
Draw
30%
33%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus v San Marino Academy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Virtus
The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
San Marino Academy
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
348 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
209 · 66%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Virtus vs San Marino Academy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Virtus squeezed past San Marino Academy 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Virtus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Virtus 3-2 San Marino Academy in the San Marino - Şampiyona on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Virtus 35%, draw 32%, San Marino Academy 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Virtus)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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SANM
More San Marino - Şampiyona
17 Feb 2024