Police Tero 0-1 Ratchaburi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No
65%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
54%
-15.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
18%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police Tero EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.97/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.02
-39% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 69%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
26.6 Crosses 16.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Police Tero
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Ratchaburi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.84 xG 0.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
249 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2023 Police Tero Police Tero 1-0 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
11.09.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
26.02.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-0 HT 0-0 Police Tero Police Tero TAY
17.10.2021 Police Tero Police Tero 2-2 HT 0-1 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police Tero
0-1
AWAY Ratchaburi
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Police Tero vs Ratchaburi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi nicked a narrow win over Police Tero 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Ratchaburi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Police Tero had 41% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 59%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Police Tero had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Police Tero and 0.75 for Ratchaburi.

What was the final score of Police Tero vs Ratchaburi?

Police Tero 0-1 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police Tero vs Ratchaburi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police Tero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Police Tero 38%, draw 26%, Ratchaburi 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police Tero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police Tero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
17 Feb 2024
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