Union San Felipe 1-3 Santiago Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union San Felipe EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Santiago Wanderers EU Bookmakers 55%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.35
+42% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union San Felipe
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Santiago Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
214 Passes 181
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
7 Box Touches 8
8 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2023 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 0-1 HT 0-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİB
22.03.2023 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 3-2 HT 3-1 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe ŞİLİB
10.09.2022 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 2-3 HT 1-0 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers ŞİLİB
10.06.2022 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe ŞİLİB
25.03.2018 Santiago Wanderers Santiago Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Union San Felipe Union San Felipe ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union San Felipe
1-3
AWAY Santiago Wanderers
25% Ball Possession 75%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 3
POST-MATCH Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santiago Wanderers beat Union San Felipe 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santiago Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Union San Felipe had 25% of the ball to Santiago Wanderers's 75%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Santiago Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union San Felipe and 1.60 for Santiago Wanderers.

What was the final score of Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers?

Union San Felipe 1-3 Santiago Wanderers in the Chile - Cup on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union San Felipe vs Santiago Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santiago Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union San Felipe 25%, draw 30%, Santiago Wanderers 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santiago Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santiago Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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