Santa Ana 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
46%
Away Win
61%
-14.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Ana EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 66%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
0.32/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.89
-69% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Ana
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Ana KOSTA
17.08.2024 Santa Ana 0-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Ana
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Santa Ana vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Ana nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Saprissa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Saprissa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santa Ana had 36% of the ball to Deportivo Saprissa's 64%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Ana and 2.50 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Santa Ana vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Santa Ana 2-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Ana vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Ana 28%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
17 Feb 2025
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