Ayacucho FC 3-2 Alianza Universidad — Result, Stats & Model Review

Ayacucho FC

3 - 2 HT 2 - 1

Alianza Universidad

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗

Peru - Premier League – 2025

Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Universidad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

38%

2.38

Draw

31%

3.11

Away

31%

2.72

Under/Over 2.5

Under Pick

54%

1.68

Over

46%

1.98

Both Teams to Score

Yes

52%

1.82

48%

1.88

Total Goals

0-1

29%

2-3

47%

4-5

20%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

21%

1/2

1/X

X/1

14%

X/2

12%

X/X

20%

2/1

2/2

17%

2/X

STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.

Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Ayacucho FC v Alianza Universidad — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers

iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures

HOME Ayacucho FC The Market 42%

Head to Head

AWAY Alianza Universidad The Market 37%

Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak

1.44 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26

1.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.32

Average Attack Strength Strong

Average Defense Strength Weak

48% Ball Possession 52%

13 Total Shots 13

4 Shots on Target 5

5 Corners 5

273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%

20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9

24 Crosses 20

2 Yellow Cards 2

Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Ayacucho FC

2W-1D-0L

AWAY Alianza Universidad

2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33

1.14 xG 1.05

48% Ball Possession 52%

16 Total Shots 13

6 Shots on Target 3

6 Corners 4

232 Passes 260

70% Pass Accuracy 74%

22 Box Touches 16

20 Crosses 20

1 Yellow Cards 3

The Meetings

30.10.2021 Alianza Universidad

1-2 HT 1-1

Ayacucho FC PER

09.03.2020 Ayacucho FC

1-1 HT 0-0

Alianza Universidad PER

19.08.2019 Ayacucho FC

3-2 HT 1-0

Alianza Universidad PER

Ayacucho FC 3-2 Alianza Universidad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Ayacucho FC

3 - 2

AWAY Alianza Universidad

0.60 xG 0.73

23% Ball Possession 77%

10 Total Shots 8

3 Shots on Target 5

1 Corners 8

157 Passes 466

76% Pass Accuracy 93%

7 Box Touches 18

6 Crosses 21

3 Yellow Cards 0

REVIEW Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Universidad

IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ayacucho FC shaded a tight game against Alianza Universidad 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Ayacucho FC made the difference.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.

On the day, Ayacucho FC had 23% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 77%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.60 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ayacucho FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ayacucho FC and 1.33 for Alianza Universidad.

Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Universidad Result & Final Score

Ayacucho FC 3 - 2 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Universidad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayacucho FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ayacucho FC 38%, draw 31%, Alianza Universidad 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayacucho FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayacucho FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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