Arjantin U20 2-3 Paraguay U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 17 Feb 2025

Arjantin U20
2-3 HT 0-1
Paraguay U20
📅17/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Sudamericano U20 – 2025

Arjantin U20 vs Paraguay U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.7
6+ Goals
7%
7.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.5pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arjantin U20 v Paraguay U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin U20 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.94/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.43
-51% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
500 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 82%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.0 Crosses 10.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Arjantin U20 vs Paraguay U20 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin U20
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Paraguay U20
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 1.03
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
512 Passes 205
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.01.2023 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 2-1 HT 1-1 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 SUD20
05.02.2015 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 3-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20
17.01.2015 Arjantin U20 Arjantin U20 0-1 HT 0-1 Paraguay U20 Paraguay U20 SUD20

Arjantin U20 2-3 Paraguay U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin U20
2-3
AWAY Paraguay U20
1.30 xG 1.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 6
334 Passes 199
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arjantin U20 vs Paraguay U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U20 edged past Arjantin U20 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Arjantin U20 carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arjantin U20 had 61% of the ball to Paraguay U20's 39%, shots finished 13-24, expected goals 1.30 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paraguay U20 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arjantin U20 and 1.00 for Paraguay U20.

What was the final score of Arjantin U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Arjantin U20 2-3 Paraguay U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin U20 vs Paraguay U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Arjantin U20 62%, draw 22%, Paraguay U20 16%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Arjantin U20), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arjantin U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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