Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.66
6+ Goals
12%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
8%
9.33
X/2
16%
4.65
X/X
12%
6.0
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.19
2/X
10%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +20%
1.37/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.08
+0% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
21.1 Crosses 20.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.28 xG 2.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
219 Passes 380
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 5-0 HT 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
08.03.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-2 HT 4-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
28.10.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
27.02.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
03.10.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-3 HT 2-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
19.03.2021 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-4 HT 2-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1-2
AWAY Galatasaray
1.95 xG 1.77
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
283 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray edged past Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 46% of the ball to Galatasaray's 54%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.95 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 3.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Galatasaray?

Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 27%, draw 27%, Galatasaray 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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