Miramar Misiones 1-2 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Feb 2025

📅17/02/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.94/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.01
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Juventud
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2023 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventud Juventud URU2
12.09.2022 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-1 HT 1-0 Juventud Juventud URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-2
AWAY Juventud
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud nicked a narrow win over Miramar Misiones 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Juventud made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 45% of the ball to Juventud's 55%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Miramar Misiones had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miramar Misiones and 0.50 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Juventud?

Miramar Misiones 1-2 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 35%, draw 31%, Juventud 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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