17/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Pelhrimov vs Vrchovina Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over Pick
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
58%
20%
Draw
22%
33%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pelhrimov v Vrchovina — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pelhrimov
The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vrchovina
The Market 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
327 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
349 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pelhrimov vs Vrchovina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pelhrimov and Vrchovina shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Pelhrimov at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
What was the final score of Pelhrimov vs Vrchovina?
Pelhrimov 1-1 Vrchovina in the Czech Republic - 4.League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pelhrimov vs Vrchovina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pelhrimov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pelhrimov 47%, draw 20%, Vrchovina 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pelhrimov), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Pelhrimov)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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More Czech Republic - 4.League
17 Mar 2024