Salford City 3-1 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
15%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.28
X/2
10%
9.95
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
19%
7.17
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.38/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.69
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 65%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.0 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Morecambe
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.19 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 Passes 203
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Morecambe Morecambe 1-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
23.02.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 2-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
24.11.2020 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 2-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
29.09.2020 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Morecambe Morecambe İNTK
07.09.2019 Morecambe Morecambe 2-2 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
3-1
AWAY Morecambe
1.71 xG 0.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
214 Passes 128
62% Pass Accuracy 51%
27 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City saw off Morecambe 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salford City had 58% of the ball to Morecambe's 42%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.71 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Salford City and 1.20 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Morecambe?

Salford City 3-1 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Salford City 42%, draw 23%, Morecambe 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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