Leeds United 2-0 Millwall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Mar 2024

Leeds United
2-0 HT 1-0
Millwall
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Leeds United vs Millwall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.57
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.7
X/1
16%
3.31
X/2
7%
18.45
X/X
11%
6.7
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
6%
15.8
2/X
6%
23.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Millwall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.19/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.91
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.0 Crosses 14.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Leeds United vs Millwall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Millwall
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.65 xG 1.81
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
378 Passes 183
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Millwall Millwall 0-3 HT 0-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
28.01.2020 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 0-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL
05.10.2019 Millwall Millwall 2-1 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
30.03.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 3-2 HT 1-1 Millwall Millwall İNCL
15.09.2018 Millwall Millwall 1-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
20.01.2018 Leeds United Leeds United 3-4 HT 0-2 Millwall Millwall İNCL

Leeds United 2-0 Millwall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
2-0
AWAY Millwall
1.54 xG 0.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 2
412 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Millwall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United saw off Millwall 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Leeds United had 62% of the ball to Millwall's 38%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.54 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leeds United and 1.83 for Millwall.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Millwall?

Leeds United 2-0 Millwall in the England - Championship on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Millwall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 60%, draw 23%, Millwall 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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