Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-4 Manchester City (K) — Result, Stats & Model Review (England - Women's Premier League, 17 Mar 2024)

Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

1-4 HT 0-2

Manchester City (K)

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗

England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

12%

9.57

Draw

22%

5.71

Away

66%

1.19

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48%

2.51

Over 2.5

52%

1.48

Both Teams to Score

Yes

36%

2.13

64%

1.63

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

30%

2-3 Goals

33%

4-5 Goals

25%

6+ Goals

12%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

1/2

1/X

X/1

X/2

18%

X/X

14%

2/1

2/2

44%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

12%

Home Win

+5.0pp

21%

Draw

14%

+7.4pp

66%

Away Win

79%

-12.4pp

48%

Under 2.5

36%

+11.8pp

52%

Over 2.5

64%

-11.8pp

36%

BTTS Yes

43%

-7.2pp

64%

BTTS No

57%

+7.2pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 10%

Head to Head

AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 84%

+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%

–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–

– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –

36% Ball Possession 64%

6 Total Shots 17

1 Shots on Target 7

4 Corners 8

254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 523 · 87%

– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –

– Crosses –

– Yellow Cards –

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

0W-0D-3L

AWAY Manchester City (K)

0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67

0.56 xG 3.38

35% Ball Possession 65%

9 Total Shots 22

3 Shots on Target 10

4 Corners 9

222 Passes 493

70% Pass Accuracy 84%

12 Crosses 23

1 Yellow Cards 0

The Meetings

15.12.2019 Manchester City (K)

5-0 HT 3-0

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

27.01.2019 Manchester City (K)

3-0 HT 3-0

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

21.10.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

0-6 HT 0-2

Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-4 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

1-4

AWAY Manchester City (K)

0.25 xG 2.01

32% Ball Possession 68%

3 Total Shots 21

1 Shots on Target 9

1 Corners 6

255 Passes 629

78% Pass Accuracy 90%

7 Box Touches 44

7 Crosses 18

3 Yellow Cards 0

POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) cruised past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 32% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 68%, shots finished 3-21, expected goals 0.25 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 4.67 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-4 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 12%, draw 21%, Manchester City (K) 66%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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