West Ham United vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
West Ham United
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
2-1
HT 0-0
Aston Villa
İNP
1-4
HT 1-2
West Ham United
İNP
1-3
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
West Ham United 1-1 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United and Aston Villa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, West Ham United had 31% of the ball to Aston Villa's 69%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.02 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for West Ham United and 1.33 for Aston Villa.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Aston Villa?
West Ham United 1-1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 29%, draw 27%, Aston Villa 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa) went the other way.