AIK 1-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 17 Mar 2024

AIK
1-1 HT 0-1
Djurgarden
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Cup – 2023/2024

AIK vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
42%
2.94
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 37% vs market 34.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.7pp
42%
Draw
30%
+11.8pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.96/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.07
+47% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

AIK vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.32 xG 1.03
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 427
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
28.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
16.10.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-2 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.04.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
03.10.2021 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
08.08.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-4 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ

AIK 1-1 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
1-1
AWAY Djurgarden
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AIK vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK and Djurgarden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 42%, and the draw held. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AIK had 53% of the ball to Djurgarden's 47%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AIK and 0.50 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of AIK vs Djurgarden?

AIK 1-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Cup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AIK 26%, draw 42%, Djurgarden 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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