Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Hapoel Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.15
Over 2.5
45%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 30% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.3pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.9pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
43%
+12.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
57%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.42/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.81
+5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.3 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.58 xG 0.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
493 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.12.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 0-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Tel Aviv
3-1
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
1.79 xG 1.06
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
333 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Tel Aviv saw off Hapoel Haifa 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maccabi Tel Aviv as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Tel Aviv had 49% of the ball to Hapoel Haifa's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.79 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa?

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Hapoel Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Tel Aviv 53%, draw 28%, Hapoel Haifa 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Tel Aviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
17 Mar 2024
21:30 Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Analysis →