Delemont 3-2 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delemont EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 50%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.36
-33% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delemont
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 0-1 HT 0-1 Delemont Delemont İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Delemont vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delemont edged past Etoile Carouge 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Etoile Carouge at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Delemont vs Etoile Carouge?

Delemont 3-2 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delemont vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Delemont 31%, draw 24%, Etoile Carouge 45%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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