Vaduz 1-3 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.84
+14% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.0 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 2.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
358 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
06.08.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-1 HT 0-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
1-3
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
0.58 xG 1.79
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
437 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Nyonnais saw off Vaduz 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vaduz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Vaduz had 61% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 39%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.58 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vaduz and 1.00 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais?

Vaduz 1-3 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 41%, draw 26%, Stade Nyonnais 33%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vaduz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vaduz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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