Budoni 0-1 Sarrabus Ogliastra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budoni The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarrabus Ogliastra The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +131%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Budoni vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarrabus Ogliastra nicked a narrow win over Budoni 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Sarrabus Ogliastra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Budoni vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?

Budoni 0-1 Sarrabus Ogliastra in the Italy - Serie D on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budoni vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budoni win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Budoni 38%, draw 30%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Budoni) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budoni) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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