Como (K) 1-1 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.74
Over 2.5
35%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
54%
+10.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
46%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.96
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Napoli (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
11.10.2023 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 6-3 Como (K) Como (K) İTKK
17.09.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
1-1
AWAY Napoli (K)
0.69 xG 0.73
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
312 Passes 218
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 8
8 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) and Napoli (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Como (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Como (K) had 56% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.69 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Como (K) and 3.50 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Como (K) 1-1 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 45%, draw 31%, Napoli (K) 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Como (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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