Granada (K) 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.4
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
33%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
15%
+18.1pp
33%
Draw
21%
+12.3pp
33%
Away Win
64%
-30.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada (K)
0-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.34 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
228 Passes 317
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Granada (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Granada (K) had 44% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 56%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.34 to 1.46.

What was the final score of Granada (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Granada (K) 0-1 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Granada (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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