UE Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - Cup, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UE Santa Coloma
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
18.02.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
25.11.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
16.04.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 1-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
29.01.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-1 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
06.11.2022 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
18.09.2022 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-1 HT 1-1 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UE Santa Coloma
1-0
AWAY Penya Encarnada
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Santa Coloma squeezed past Penya Encarnada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UE Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UE Santa Coloma had 54% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 46%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UE Santa Coloma and 1.17 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

UE Santa Coloma 1-0 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - Cup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UE Santa Coloma 48%, draw 27%, Penya Encarnada 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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