Temperley 1-1 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Temperley EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +20%
1.27/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.00
+5% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Temperley
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
175 Passes 263
58% Pass Accuracy 64%
19.03.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 1-0 Temperley Temperley ARJPBN
13.09.2016 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 1-0 Temperley Temperley ARJ
24.02.2016 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-2 HT 0-1 Temperley Temperley ARJ
04.04.2015 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-1 HT 1-1 Temperley Temperley ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Temperley
1-1
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Temperley vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Temperley and Atletico Rafaela couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Temperley at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Temperley had 57% of the ball to Atletico Rafaela's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Rafaela led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Temperley and 0.75 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Temperley vs Atletico Rafaela?

Temperley 1-1 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Temperley vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Temperley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Temperley 42%, draw 29%, Atletico Rafaela 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Temperley), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Temperley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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