Deportivo Paraguayo 1-1 Puerto Nuevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primera C Apertura, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
52%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Paraguayo The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Puerto Nuevo The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -59%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Deportivo Paraguayo vs Puerto Nuevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Paraguayo and Puerto Nuevo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Paraguayo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Deportivo Paraguayo vs Puerto Nuevo?

Deportivo Paraguayo 1-1 Puerto Nuevo in the Argentina - Primera C Apertura on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Puerto Nuevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Paraguayo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Paraguayo 42%, draw 22%, Puerto Nuevo 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Paraguayo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Paraguayo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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