First Vienna (K) 3-2 Neulengbach (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
First Vienna (K) win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.7pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.5pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna (K) The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Neulengbach (K) The Market 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +92% / +92%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
464 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna (K)
3-2
AWAY Neulengbach (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH First Vienna (K) vs Neulengbach (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna (K) edged past Neulengbach (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had First Vienna (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, First Vienna (K) had 52% of the ball to Neulengbach (K)'s 48%, shots finished 17-16.

What was the final score of First Vienna (K) vs Neulengbach (K)?

First Vienna (K) 3-2 Neulengbach (K) in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna (K) vs Neulengbach (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split First Vienna (K) 63%, draw 20%, Neulengbach (K) 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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