Mt Gravatt Hawks 4-0 Acacia Ridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland Premier League 3, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.28
Draw
30%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
44%
4-5
18%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Mt Gravatt Hawks win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
74%
-18.2pp
31%
Draw
16%
+14.1pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mt Gravatt Hawks The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Acacia Ridge The Market 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
499 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mt Gravatt Hawks
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Acacia Ridge
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2021 Mt Gravatt Hawks Mt Gravatt Hawks 3-1 HT 0-1 Acacia Ridge Acacia Ridge AVB
POST-MATCH Mt Gravatt Hawks vs Acacia Ridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mt Gravatt Hawks swept aside Acacia Ridge 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mt Gravatt Hawks as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mt Gravatt Hawks vs Acacia Ridge?

Mt Gravatt Hawks 4-0 Acacia Ridge in the Australia - Queensland Premier League 3 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mt Gravatt Hawks vs Acacia Ridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mt Gravatt Hawks win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Mt Gravatt Hawks 56%, draw 31%, Acacia Ridge 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mt Gravatt Hawks) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mt Gravatt Hawks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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