Taringa Rovers 3-2 Samford Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland Premier League 2, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
32%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
14%
+17.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taringa Rovers The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Samford Rangers The Market 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Taringa Rovers vs Samford Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taringa Rovers squeezed past Samford Rangers 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Taringa Rovers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Taringa Rovers vs Samford Rangers?

Taringa Rovers 3-2 Samford Rangers in the Australia - Queensland Premier League 2 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taringa Rovers vs Samford Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taringa Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Taringa Rovers 48%, draw 20%, Samford Rangers 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taringa Rovers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Taringa Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5
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