Al-Taawon 4-1 Dubai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Taawon EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubai City EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.70/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.97
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
500 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Taawon
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Dubai City
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.10.2023 Dubai City 1-3 HT 1-1 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
03.03.2023 Dubai City 1-2 HT 0-1 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
22.10.2022 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Dubai City BAE2
26.03.2022 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 3-1 HT 2-1 Dubai City BAE2
11.12.2021 Dubai City 2-2 HT 2-1 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
POST-MATCH Al-Taawon vs Dubai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Taawon cruised past Dubai City 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al-Taawon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al-Taawon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al-Taawon and 1.00 for Dubai City.

What was the final score of Al-Taawon vs Dubai City?

Al-Taawon 4-1 Dubai City in the UAE - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Taawon vs Dubai City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al-Taawon 45%, draw 27%, Dubai City 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Taawon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Taawon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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