İnegöl Doğugücü 1-0 Bigaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over Pick
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
42%
+11.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İnegöl Doğugücü The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bigaspor The Market 37%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.48/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH İnegöl Doğugücü vs Bigaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İnegöl Doğugücü squeezed past Bigaspor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İnegöl Doğugücü as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of İnegöl Doğugücü vs Bigaspor?

İnegöl Doğugücü 1-0 Bigaspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İnegöl Doğugücü vs Bigaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İnegöl Doğugücü win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İnegöl Doğugücü 53%, draw 21%, Bigaspor 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İnegöl Doğugücü) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İnegöl Doğugücü) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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