Yenişehir Belediyespor 0-1 Şırnak Petrolspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
32%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Yenişehir Belediyespor win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.3pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.4pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenişehir Belediyespor The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Şırnak Petrolspor The Market 18%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-78% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Yenişehir Belediyespor vs Şırnak Petrolspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şırnak Petrolspor squeezed past Yenişehir Belediyespor 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Yenişehir Belediyespor carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Yenişehir Belediyespor vs Şırnak Petrolspor?

Yenişehir Belediyespor 0-1 Şırnak Petrolspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenişehir Belediyespor vs Şırnak Petrolspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenişehir Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Yenişehir Belediyespor 60%, draw 16%, Şırnak Petrolspor 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yenişehir Belediyespor) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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