Borac Banja Luka 3-1 Zvijezda 09 Brgule — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-6.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borac Banja Luka EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Zvijezda 09 Brgule EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.16/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.65
+3% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borac Banja Luka
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Zvijezda 09 Brgule
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 2-0 HT 2-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSK
09.12.2023 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule 1-2 HT 0-1 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka BOSN
01.09.2023 Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 4-2 HT 1-2 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borac Banja Luka
3-1
AWAY Zvijezda 09 Brgule
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 5
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Borac Banja Luka vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borac Banja Luka saw off Zvijezda 09 Brgule 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Borac Banja Luka as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borac Banja Luka had 64% of the ball to Zvijezda 09 Brgule's 36%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Borac Banja Luka had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Borac Banja Luka and 1.00 for Zvijezda 09 Brgule.

What was the final score of Borac Banja Luka vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule?

Borac Banja Luka 3-1 Zvijezda 09 Brgule in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borac Banja Luka vs Zvijezda 09 Brgule?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borac Banja Luka win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Borac Banja Luka 65%, draw 20%, Zvijezda 09 Brgule 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borac Banja Luka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
17 Mar 2024
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