Icasa 1-0 Cariri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cearense 2, 17 Mar 2024

Icasa
1-0 HT 0-0
Cariri
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.9
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Icasa win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.8pp
18%
Draw
25%
-7.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Icasa The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cariri The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Icasa vs Cariri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Icasa squeezed past Cariri 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Icasa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Icasa vs Cariri?

Icasa 1-0 Cariri in the Brazil - Cearense 2 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Icasa vs Cariri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Icasa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Icasa 55%, draw 18%, Cariri 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Icasa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Icasa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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