Palmeiras 5-1 Ponte Preta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A1, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.74
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
17%
4.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Palmeiras The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponte Preta The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.64 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.42
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Great Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13
Crosses 14
Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ponte Preta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
27.01.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-0 HT 3-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
09.05.2021 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-3 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
03.08.2020 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
09.02.2020 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
21.03.2019 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta BREPAU
19.02.2018 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
5 - 1
AWAY Ponte Preta
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
403 Passes 229
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
REVIEW Palmeiras vs Ponte Preta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Palmeiras ran out comfortable winners over Ponte Preta 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Palmeiras had 61% of the ball to Ponte Preta's 39%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palmeiras and 0.00 for Ponte Preta.

Palmeiras vs Ponte Preta Result & Final Score

Palmeiras 5 - 1 Ponte Preta in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Palmeiras vs Ponte Preta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 55%, draw 28%, Ponte Preta 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BREPAU More Brazil - Paulista A1
17 Mar 2024
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