Biskra 2-1 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.62
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biskra EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.17/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/2.28
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Biskra
2W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Khenchela
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-0 Biskra Biskra CZYR
01.07.2023 Biskra Biskra 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
12.11.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 1-0 HT 0-0 Biskra Biskra CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Biskra
2-1
AWAY USM Khenchela
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Biskra vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Biskra squeezed past USM Khenchela 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Biskra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Biskra had 42% of the ball to USM Khenchela's 58%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Biskra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Biskra and 0.33 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of Biskra vs USM Khenchela?

Biskra 2-1 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biskra vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Biskra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Biskra 40%, draw 33%, USM Khenchela 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Biskra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Biskra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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