Cilegon United 1-1 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.23
Over
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cilegon United The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United The Market 50%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +19%
1.70/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.18
+39% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cilegon United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bali United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
25.01.2023 Cilegon United Cilegon United 4-4 HT 3-3 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
04.08.2022 Bali United Bali United 3-2 HT 2-1 Cilegon United Cilegon United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cilegon United
1-1
AWAY Bali United
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 3
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cilegon United vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cilegon United and Bali United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bali United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Cilegon United had 39% of the ball to Bali United's 61%, shots finished 3-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cilegon United and 3.50 for Bali United.

What was the final score of Cilegon United vs Bali United?

Cilegon United 1-1 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cilegon United vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cilegon United 27%, draw 28%, Bali United 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bali United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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