17/03/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
West Armenia vs Van Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
30%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
25%
19%
Draw
28%
45%
Away Win
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Armenia v Van — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
West Armenia
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
Van
The Market 51%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
235 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
446 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
West Armenia vs Van
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
West Armenia got the better of Van 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Van at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of West Armenia vs Van?
West Armenia 2-0 Van in the Armenia - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Armenia vs Van?
Before kick-off our model rated an Van win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split West Armenia 36%, draw 19%, Van 45%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Van) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Van)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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