Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parnu JK Vaprus v FC Kuressaare — Team-Based Signals
Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
3-1
HT 1-0
FC Kuressaare
EST1
1-2
HT 0-0
FC Kuressaare
EST1
1-2
HT 0-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
1-0
HT 0-0
Parnu JK Vaprus
EST1
0-1
HT 0-0
FC Kuressaare
EST1
Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 FC Kuressaare — Actual Match Statistics
Parnu JK Vaprus squeezed past FC Kuressaare 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Parnu JK Vaprus made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 57% of the ball to FC Kuressaare's 43%, shots finished 7-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.17 for FC Kuressaare.
What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare?
Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 FC Kuressaare in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 38%, draw 27%, FC Kuressaare 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.