Raja Beni Mellal 2-2 Kawkab Marrakech — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.71
Over 2.5
29%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
1.85
No
67%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
55%
+16.1pp
29%
Over 2.5
45%
-16.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
50%
-16.7pp
67%
BTTS No
50%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Beni Mellal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech EU Bookmakers 36%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.19/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.33
+15% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
2-2
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Raja Beni Mellal vs Kawkab Marrakech
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal and Kawkab Marrakech couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Raja Beni Mellal had 47% of the ball to Kawkab Marrakech's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Raja Beni Mellal vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Raja Beni Mellal 2-2 Kawkab Marrakech in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Beni Mellal vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Raja Beni Mellal 36%, draw 28%, Kawkab Marrakech 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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