Mouloudia Oujda 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.17
2-3 Goals
46%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.76
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.13/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.18
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
23.06.2023 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 2-1 HT 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
25.01.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-2 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
17.07.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-1 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
25.04.2021 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-2 HT 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
04.10.2020 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 4-0 HT 2-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
0-1
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mouloudia Oujda vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghreb Tetouan edged past Mouloudia Oujda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Moghreb Tetouan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mouloudia Oujda had 53% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 47%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mouloudia Oujda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mouloudia Oujda and 1.50 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Mouloudia Oujda 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moghreb Tetouan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 35%, draw 27%, Moghreb Tetouan 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moghreb Tetouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAS More Morocco - League
17 Mar 2024
01:00 CR Khemis Zemamra vs Chabab Mohammedia Analysis →
01:00 FAR Rabat vs Olympic Safi Analysis →
01:00 Raja Casablanca vs JS Soualem Analysis →